D-backs at Brewers

Scoreboard

AZ6–MIL2

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

American Family Field · AZ 16-13 · MIL 15-14

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
AZ	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	2	6	11	0
MIL	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	6	1

Last play · Tyler Black strikes out swinging.

Win probability

Brewers0%

AZ 100%MIL 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

AZ 4 – 2 MIL

D-backs led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8.5

opened 8.5

fair over 48.3% · hold 4.6%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+114 / -137

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Brewers favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓

Biggest swing · Nolan Arenado homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field. Ildemaro Vargas scores. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. scores. (inning 4) — -38% D-backs

Scoring plays

AZ–MIL · 6 total

9Corbin Carroll homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field.6–2

9Ketel Marte homers (5) on a fly ball to right field.5–2

4Nolan Arenado homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field. Ildemaro Vargas scores. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. scores.4–2

4Adrian Del Castillo homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field.1–2

3Brice Turang doubles (8) on a fly ball to center fielder Alek Thomas. Brandon Lockridge scores.0–2

1Jake Bauers doubles (5) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Alek Thomas. Brice Turang scores.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.