Yankees at Brewers
Last play · Brice Turang homers (6) on a fly ball to center field.
Win probability
Brewers100%
NYY 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 2 – 3 MIL
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 8
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Brewers favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Blake Perkins singles on a line drive to center fielder Trent Grisham. Andrew Vaughn scores. Luis Rengifo scores. Blake Perkins to 2nd. (inning 4) — +29% Brewers
9Brice Turang homers (6) on a fly ball to center field.3–4
6Jazz Chisholm Jr. doubles (6) on a line drive to right fielder Blake Perkins. Cody Bellinger scores.3–3
4Blake Perkins singles on a line drive to center fielder Trent Grisham. Andrew Vaughn scores. Luis Rengifo scores. Blake Perkins to 2nd.2–3
4Garrett Mitchell out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Trent Grisham. Gary Sánchez scores.2–1
2Spencer Jones singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Garrett Mitchell. José Caballero scores.2–0
1Aaron Judge homers (16) on a fly ball to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
