Dodgers at Brewers
Last play · Shohei Ohtani flies out to left fielder Jackson Chourio.
Win probability
Brewers100%
LAD 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAD 0 – 5 MIL
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 8
fair over 51% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-109 / -110
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Brewers favored ↑50%Dodgers favored ↓
Biggest swing · William Contreras homers (4) on a fly ball to left field. Jackson Chourio scores. Brice Turang scores. (inning 1) — +24% Brewers
7Shohei Ohtani out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jake Bauers. Teoscar Hernández scores. Dalton Rushing to 2nd.1–5
2Andrew Vaughn doubles (4) on a fly ball to center fielder Andy Pages. William Contreras scores.0–5
1Sal Frelick out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Teoscar Hernández. Andrew Vaughn scores.0–4
1William Contreras homers (4) on a fly ball to left field. Jackson Chourio scores. Brice Turang scores.0–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
