Dodgers at Brewers
Last play · Blake Perkins strikes out on a foul tip.
Win probability
Brewers0%
LAD 100%MIL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAD 5 – 1 MIL
Dodgers led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 50.5% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-149 / +123
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Brewers favored ↑50%Dodgers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kyle Tucker triples (2) on a ground ball to right fielder Sal Frelick. Mookie Betts scores. Freddie Freeman scores. (inning 5) — -28% Dodgers
5Andy Pages homers (11) on a fly ball to left field. Kyle Tucker scores.5–1
5Kyle Tucker triples (2) on a ground ball to right fielder Sal Frelick. Mookie Betts scores. Freddie Freeman scores.3–1
4Shohei Ohtani grounds out to first baseman Andrew Vaughn.1–1
2Sal Frelick grounds into a force out, second baseman Hyeseong Kim to shortstop Mookie Betts. Jake Bauers scores. Garrett Mitchell out at 2nd. Sal Frelick to 1st.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
