Giants at Brewers
Last play · Drew Gilbert grounds out, second baseman David Hamilton to first baseman Jake Bauers.
Win probability
Brewers100%
SF 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 2 – 8 MIL
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
7
opened 7.5 ↓
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+138 / -167
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Brewers favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Matt Chapman homers (2) on a fly ball to center field. Jung Hoo Lee scores. (inning 2) — -24% Giants
8William Contreras out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Jackson Chourio scores. Joey Ortiz to 3rd.2–16
8Joey Ortiz doubles (3) on a line drive to right fielder Victor Bericoto. David Hamilton scores. Christian Yelich scores. Jackson Chourio to 3rd.2–15
8Christian Yelich singles on a ground ball to left fielder Drew Gilbert. Luis Rengifo scores. David Hamilton to 3rd.2–13
7Jackson Chourio singles on a ground ball to right fielder Victor Bericoto. David Hamilton scores. Christian Yelich to 2nd.2–12
7Christian Yelich singles on a line drive to center fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Luis Rengifo scores. David Hamilton to 3rd.2–11
6Andrew Vaughn singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Brice Turang scores. William Contreras scores. Jake Bauers to 3rd. Andrew Vaughn to 2nd. Andrew Vaughn advances to 2nd, on a fielding error by right fielder Jung Hoo Lee.2–10
4William Contreras grounds into a double play, shortstop Willy Adames to second baseman Luis Arraez to first baseman Bryce Eldridge. Christian Yelich scores. Jackson Chourio to 3rd. Brice Turang out at 2nd. William Contreras out at 1st.2–8
2William Contreras out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Casey Schmitt. Brice Turang scores.2–7
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
