Giants at Brewers
Last play · William Contreras grounds out, shortstop Willy Adames to first baseman Rafael Devers.
Win probability
Brewers0%
SF 100%MIL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 1 – 0 MIL
Giants led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8 ↑
fair over 48.2% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+113 / -136
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Brewers favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Victor Bericoto homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 5) — -22% Giants
5Victor Bericoto homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
