Guardians at Brewers
Last play · Jake Bauers flies out to left fielder Steven Kwan.
Win probability
Brewers0%
CLE 100%MIL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 1 – 2 MIL
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 48.3% · hold 4.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+124 / -150
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Brewers favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Travis Bazzana homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 7) — -19% Guardians
7Gabriel Arias strikes out swinging.4–2
7Travis Bazzana homers (5) on a fly ball to right field.3–2
6Kyle Manzardo homers (8) on a fly ball to right field.2–2
4Cooper Pratt out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Stuart Fairchild. Gary Sánchez scores.1–2
3David Fry homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field.1–1
2Gary Sánchez singles on a ground ball to center fielder Stuart Fairchild, deflected by second baseman Travis Bazzana. Andrew Vaughn scores. Jake Bauers to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
