Marlins at Brewers

Scoreboard

MIA1–MIL3

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

American Family Field · MIA 52-48 · MIL 62-37

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
MIA	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	6	1
MIL	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	3	4	0

Last play · William Contreras homers (10) on a fly ball to center field. Jackson Chourio scores. Brice Turang scores.

Win probability

Brewers100%

MIA 0%MIL 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

MIA 1 – 0 MIL

Marlins led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8

opened 8

fair over 49.6% · hold 4.8%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+109 / -131

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Brewers favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓

Biggest swing · William Contreras homers (10) on a fly ball to center field. Jackson Chourio scores. Brice Turang scores. (inning 9) — +67% Brewers

Scoring plays

MIA–MIL · 2 total

9William Contreras homers (10) on a fly ball to center field. Jackson Chourio scores. Brice Turang scores.1–3

3Esteury Ruiz homers (5) on a fly ball to left field.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.