Rockies at Brewers
Last play · Christian Yelich lines out to right fielder Troy Johnston.
Win probability
Brewers0%
COL 100%MIL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 4 – 1 MIL
Rockies led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.1% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+234 / -294
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Brewers favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Christian Yelich homers (7) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 1) — +12% Brewers
7TJ Rumfield doubles (22) on a line drive to right fielder Jake Bauers. Mickey Moniak scores.5–2
6Brice Turang homers (15) on a fly ball to center field.4–2
4Mickey Moniak out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Garrett Mitchell. Willi Castro scores.4–1
3Rockies challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Kyle Karros singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Luis Lara. Jake McCarthy scores. Kyle Karros out at 2nd on the throw, right fielder Luis Lara to shortstop Joey Ortiz.3–1
1Christian Yelich homers (7) on a fly ball to center field.2–1
1Hunter Goodman singles on a line drive to left fielder Jackson Chourio. Cole Carrigg scores.2–0
1Cole Carrigg doubles (8) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jackson Chourio. Kyle Karros scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
