Rockies at Brewers
Last play · Cole Carrigg strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Brewers100%
COL 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 2 – 3 MIL
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+197 / -244
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Brewers favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Hunter Goodman singles on a fly ball to left fielder Jackson Chourio. Kyle Karros scores. Cole Carrigg scores. Hunter Goodman to 2nd. (inning 4) — -25% Rockies
9Kyle Karros singles on a line drive to center fielder Garrett Mitchell. Ezequiel Tovar scores. Jake McCarthy to 2nd.5–8
9Jake McCarthy singles on a line drive to center fielder Garrett Mitchell. TJ Rumfield scores. Brett Sullivan scores. Ezequiel Tovar to 2nd.4–8
8Christian Yelich out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Cole Carrigg. Luis Lara scores. Cooper Pratt to 3rd.2–8
6Jackson Chourio grounds out, third baseman Kyle Karros to first baseman TJ Rumfield.2–7
6Cooper Pratt out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jake McCarthy. Garrett Mitchell scores.2–6
6Luis Lara doubles (2) on a fly ball to left fielder Jake McCarthy. William Contreras scores. Jake Bauers scores. Garrett Mitchell to 3rd.2–5
4Cooper Pratt singles on a ground ball to right fielder Tyler Freeman, deflected by second baseman Willi Castro. Jake Bauers scores. Luis Lara to 3rd.2–3
4Hunter Goodman singles on a fly ball to left fielder Jackson Chourio. Kyle Karros scores. Cole Carrigg scores. Hunter Goodman to 2nd.2–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
