Pirates at Brewers

Scoreboard

PIT4–MIL3

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

American Family Field · PIT 57-57 · MIL 69-43

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
PIT	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	8	1
MIL	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	3	6	1

Last play · Henry Davis challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Jackson Chourio called out on strikes.

Win probability

Brewers0%

PIT 100%MIL 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

PIT 4 – 1 MIL

Pirates led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8.5

opened 9 ↓

fair over 48.5% · hold 4.7%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+129 / -156

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Brewers favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓

Biggest swing · Spencer Horwitz doubles (12) on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Jake Bauers. Brandon Lowe scores. Bryan Reynolds scores. Esmerlyn Valdez scores. (inning 3) — -35% Pirates

Scoring plays

PIT–MIL · 4 total

6Andrew Vaughn singles on a line drive to right fielder Esmerlyn Valdez. Jackson Chourio scores. Jake Bauers scores. Andrew Vaughn to 2nd. Throwing error by right fielder Esmerlyn Valdez.4–3

5Joey Ortiz singles on a line drive to right fielder Esmerlyn Valdez. Jake Bauers scores. David Hamilton to 3rd.4–1

4Jake Mangum singles on a bunt ground ball to pitcher Garrett Stallings. Endy Rodríguez scores. Henry Davis to 2nd.4–0

3Spencer Horwitz doubles (12) on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Jake Bauers. Brandon Lowe scores. Bryan Reynolds scores. Esmerlyn Valdez scores.3–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.