Pirates at Brewers

Scoreboard

PIT2–MIL4

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

American Family Field · PIT 57-58 · MIL 70-43

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
PIT	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	5	0
MIL	0	0	1	2	1	0	0	0	·	4	11	0

Last play · Endy Rodríguez pops out to third baseman David Hamilton in foul territory.

Win probability

Brewers100%

PIT 0%MIL 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

PIT 2 – 4 MIL

Brewers led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

7.5

opened 8 ↓

fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+132 / -141

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Brewers favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓

Biggest swing · Andrew Vaughn homers (5) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 4) — +19% Brewers

Scoring plays

PIT–MIL · 6 total

5Luis Lara singles on a ground ball to left fielder Bryan Reynolds. William Contreras scores. Andrew Vaughn to 2nd.2–4

5Endy Rodríguez homers (6) on a fly ball to right field.2–3

4Jackson Chourio singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jake Mangum. Cooper Pratt scores. David Hamilton to 2nd.1–3

4Andrew Vaughn homers (5) on a fly ball to center field.1–2

3Jackson Chourio homers (14) on a fly ball to right center field.1–1

3Jacob Gonzalez homers (5) on a line drive to right center field.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.