Pirates at Brewers

Scoreboard

PIT2–MIL5

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

American Family Field · PIT 57-60 · MIL 72-43

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
PIT	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	6	1
MIL	1	0	1	0	2	1	0	0	·	5	6	0

Last play · Brewers challenged (play at 1st), call on the field was overturned: Ronny Simon grounds into a double play, second baseman Brice Turang to shortstop Cooper Pratt to first baseman Andrew Vaughn. Nick Gonzales out at 2nd. Ronny Simon out at 1st.

Win probability

Brewers100%

PIT 0%MIL 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

PIT 2 – 4 MIL

Brewers led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

7.5

opened 7.5

fair over 49.1% · hold 4.7%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+121 / -129

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Brewers favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓

Biggest swing · Brandon Lowe homers (24) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 4) — -17% Pirates

Scoring plays

PIT–MIL · 7 total

6Andrew Vaughn singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Bryan Reynolds. Garrett Mitchell scores.2–5

5Brice Turang reaches on a fielding error by third baseman Nick Gonzales. Cooper Pratt scores.2–4

5Gary Sánchez homers (9) on a fly ball to left center field.2–3

4Spencer Horwitz singles on a line drive to center fielder Garrett Mitchell. Bryan Reynolds scores. Endy Rodríguez out at 3rd on the throw, center fielder Garrett Mitchell to third baseman David Hamilton.2–2

4Brandon Lowe homers (24) on a fly ball to left center field.1–2

3Cooper Pratt out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Ronny Simon. David Hamilton scores.0–2

1Jackson Chourio homers (15) on a fly ball to center field.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.