Twins at Brewers
Last play · Ryan Jeffers flies out to center fielder Garrett Mitchell.
Win probability
Brewers100%
MIN 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 3 – 3 MIL
Tied through 5
Total runs
8
opened 8
fair over 50.6% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+131 / -140
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Brewers favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Andrew Vaughn singles on a ground ball to right fielder Austin Martin. Brandon Lockridge scores. Andrew Vaughn to 2nd. (inning 8) — +29% Brewers
8Andrew Vaughn singles on a ground ball to right fielder Austin Martin. Brandon Lockridge scores. Andrew Vaughn to 2nd.3–4
4Brice Turang singles on a line drive to right fielder Luke Keaschall. Andrew Vaughn scores. Christian Yelich scores. David Hamilton to 3rd.3–3
2Royce Lewis doubles (17) on a fly ball to left fielder Jackson Chourio. Kaelen Culpepper scores. Austin Martin scores. Ryan Jeffers to 3rd.3–1
2Ryan Jeffers walks. Luke Keaschall scores. Kaelen Culpepper to 3rd. Austin Martin to 2nd.1–1
1William Contreras hit by pitch. Brice Turang scores. Jackson Chourio to 3rd. Jake Bauers to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
