Twins at Brewers
Last play · Twins challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Jake Bauers singles on a line drive to left fielder Kody Clemens. Brice Turang scores. Garrett Mitchell to 3rd.
Win probability
Brewers100%
MIN 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 1 – 3 MIL
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
7
opened 7.5 ↓
fair over 52.3% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+238 / -258
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Brewers favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kody Clemens homers (20) on a fly ball to right center field. Josh Bell scores. (inning 6) — -31% Twins
10Twins challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Jake Bauers singles on a line drive to left fielder Kody Clemens. Brice Turang scores. Garrett Mitchell to 3rd.3–4
6Kody Clemens homers (20) on a fly ball to right center field. Josh Bell scores.3–3
5David Hamilton doubles (9) on a line drive to center fielder Luke Keaschall. Gary Sánchez scores.1–3
5Jake Bauers homers (21) on a fly ball to left center field.1–2
5Brooks Lee homers (17) on a fly ball to right center field.1–1
1Jackson Chourio homers (17) on a fly ball to right center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
