Rangers at Brewers
TEX1–
MIL6Last play · Wyatt Langford strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Brewers100%
TEX 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 1 – 2 MIL
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.7% · hold 4.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+195 / -210
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Brewers favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Danny Jansen homers (5) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 3) — -14% Rangers
8William Contreras out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Ezequiel Duran. David Hamilton scores. Jackson Chourio to 3rd.1–6
8Jackson Chourio singles on a ground ball to left fielder Wyatt Langford. Sal Frelick scores. David Hamilton to 2nd.1–5
7William Contreras singles on a ground ball to center fielder Evan Carter. Jake Bauers scores.1–4
6David Hamilton singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Evan Carter. Garrett Mitchell scores. Sal Frelick to 2nd.1–3
3Danny Jansen homers (5) on a fly ball to left field.1–2
1Christian Yelich doubles (21) on a line drive to center fielder Evan Carter. Jake Bauers scores.0–2
1William Contreras grounds out, shortstop Corey Seager to first baseman Jake Burger. Brice Turang scores. Jake Bauers to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.