Last play · Andruw Monasterio strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Twins100%
BOS 0%MIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
final
BOS 3 – 13 MIN
Twins led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 49.6% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference
-163 / +135
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Twins favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ryan Jeffers singles on a line drive to left fielder Jarren Duran. Luke Keaschall scores. (inning 1) — +9% Twins
7Wilyer Abreu singles on a ground ball to center fielder Byron Buxton. Caleb Durbin scores. Andruw Monasterio to 3rd.6–13
7Andruw Monasterio singles on a line drive to left fielder Austin Martin. Roman Anthony scores. Caleb Durbin to 2nd.5–13
6Trevor Story singles on a ground ball to center fielder Byron Buxton. Willson Contreras scores. Wilyer Abreu to 2nd.4–13
5Ryan Jeffers homers (2) on a line drive to left field.3–13
5Byron Buxton homers (1) on a fly ball to center field.3–12
3Jarren Duran homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Caleb Durbin scores.3–11
3Caleb Durbin doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Austin Martin. Roman Anthony scores.1–11
2Ryan Kreidler homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.0–11
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
BOS6–
MIN13