Tigers at Twins
Last play · Dillon Dingler strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Twins100%
DET 0%MIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 0 – 1 MIN
Twins led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48% · hold 4.6%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-143 / +119
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Twins favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brooks Lee singles on a ground ball to right fielder Kerry Carpenter. Matt Wallner scores. Victor Caratini scores. Royce Lewis to 3rd. (inning 8) — +34% Twins
8Brooks Lee singles on a ground ball to right fielder Kerry Carpenter. Matt Wallner scores. Victor Caratini scores. Royce Lewis to 3rd.1–3
7Gleyber Torres out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Matt Wallner. Jake Rogers scores.1–1
4Josh Bell homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
