Mariners at Twins

Scoreboard

SEA7–MIN1

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Target Field · SEA 15-16 · MIN 13-17

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
SEA	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	2	7	12	1
MIN	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	7	0

Last play · Byron Buxton strikes out swinging.

Win probability

Twins0%

SEA 100%MIN 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

SEA 0 – 1 MIN

Twins led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8

opened 7.5 ↑

fair over 48.3% · hold 4.6%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-126 / +104

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Twins favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓

Biggest swing · Josh Naylor homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. J.P. Crawford scores. Julio Rodríguez scores. (inning 8) — -22% Mariners

Scoring plays

SEA–MIN · 5 total

9Julio Rodríguez doubles (6) on a line drive to left fielder Trevor Larnach. Cole Young scores. Leo Rivas scores.7–1

8Josh Naylor homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. J.P. Crawford scores. Julio Rodríguez scores.5–1

7Cole Young singles on a line drive to left fielder Trevor Larnach. Randy Arozarena scores.2–1

6Josh Naylor singles on a line drive to left fielder Trevor Larnach. Julio Rodríguez scores.1–1

5Byron Buxton homers (7) on a fly ball to left field.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.