Blue Jays at Twins

Scoreboard

TOR11–MIN4

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Target Field · TOR 16-17 · MIN 14-20

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
TOR	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	8	0	11	9	1
MIN	1	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	4	7	1

Last play · Matt Wallner grounds out, second baseman Lenyn Sosa to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Win probability

Twins0%

TOR 100%MIN 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

TOR 2 – 4 MIN

Twins led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8

opened 8

fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-143 / +119

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Twins favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓

Biggest swing · Lenyn Sosa singles on a soft ground ball to second baseman Luke Keaschall. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. Kazuma Okamoto to 2nd. (inning 8) — -26% Blue Jays

Scoring plays

TOR–MIN · 8 total

8Brandon Valenzuela homers (3) on a line drive to center field. Myles Straw scores. Davis Schneider scores.11–4

8Davis Schneider doubles (3) on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Trevor Larnach. Lenyn Sosa scores. Daulton Varsho scores. Myles Straw to 3rd.8–4

8Myles Straw walks. Kazuma Okamoto scores. Lenyn Sosa to 3rd. Daulton Varsho to 2nd.6–4

8Lenyn Sosa singles on a soft ground ball to second baseman Luke Keaschall. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. Kazuma Okamoto to 2nd.5–4

8Kazuma Okamoto singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Byron Buxton, deflected by second baseman Luke Keaschall. Ernie Clement scores. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to 3rd.4–4

6Kazuma Okamoto homers (8) on a fly ball to center field.3–4

5Trevor Larnach singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Tristan Gray scores.2–4

2Brooks Lee singles on a ground ball to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Kody Clemens scores. Luke Keaschall scores. Throwing error by first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.2–3

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.