Astros at Twins

Scoreboard

HOU3–MIN6

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Target Field · HOU 19-30 · MIN 22-26

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
HOU	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	3	7	0
MIN	0	1	0	2	0	3	0	0	·	6	9	0

Last play · Christian Walker grounds out, shortstop Brooks Lee to first baseman Kody Clemens.

Win probability

Twins100%

HOU 0%MIN 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

HOU 0 – 3 MIN

Twins led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

9

opened 9.5 ↓

fair over 51.2% · hold 4.5%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-105 / -115

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Twins favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓

Biggest swing · Josh Bell homers (5) on a fly ball to left field. Trevor Larnach scores. (inning 4) — +17% Twins

Scoring plays

HOU–MIN · 7 total

7Christian Walker singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Austin Martin. Christian Vázquez scores. Yordan Alvarez to 3rd.3–6

7Jeremy Peña out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Austin Martin. Cam Smith scores.2–6

7Christian Vázquez singles on a ground ball to center fielder James Outman. Brice Matthews scores. Cam Smith to 3rd.1–6

6Luke Keaschall singles on a fly ball to center fielder Brice Matthews, deflected by left fielder Zach Dezenzo. Ryan Jeffers scores. Kody Clemens scores. Josh Bell to 2nd.0–6

6Josh Bell singles on a ground ball to right fielder Cam Smith. Trevor Larnach scores. Ryan Jeffers to 3rd. Kody Clemens to 2nd.0–4

4Josh Bell homers (5) on a fly ball to left field. Trevor Larnach scores.0–3

2Josh Bell homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.