Astros at Twins

Scoreboard

HOU2–MIN1

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Target Field · HOU 20-30 · MIN 22-27

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
HOU	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	5	1
MIN	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	7	0

Last play · Byron Buxton pops out to third baseman Isaac Paredes in foul territory.

Win probability

Twins0%

HOU 100%MIN 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

HOU 2 – 0 MIN

Astros led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8.5

opened 8.5

fair over 50.9% · hold 4.7%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+115 / -138

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Twins favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓

Biggest swing · Isaac Paredes homers (5) on a fly ball to left field. Jeremy Peña scores. (inning 1) — -21% Astros

Scoring plays

HOU–MIN · 2 total

8Josh Bell reaches on a fielding error by second baseman Braden Shewmake. Byron Buxton scores.2–1

1Isaac Paredes homers (5) on a fly ball to left field. Jeremy Peña scores.2–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.