Astros at Twins

Scoreboard

HOU1–MIN4

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Target Field · HOU 20-31 · MIN 23-27

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
HOU	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	5	0
MIN	0	1	0	3	0	0	0	0	·	4	6	0

Last play · Jake Meyers grounds out, shortstop Ryan Kreidler to first baseman Kody Clemens.

Win probability

Twins100%

HOU 0%MIN 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

HOU 1 – 4 MIN

Twins led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

7.5

opened 8 ↓

fair over 51% · hold 4.5%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+113 / -136

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Twins favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓

Biggest swing · Ryan Kreidler homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field. Victor Caratini scores. Tristan Gray scores. (inning 4) — +30% Twins

Scoring plays

HOU–MIN · 3 total

4Ryan Kreidler homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field. Victor Caratini scores. Tristan Gray scores.1–4

2Victor Caratini homers (2) on a fly ball to center field.1–1

2Christian Vázquez singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder James Outman. Zach Dezenzo scores. Cam Smith to 2nd.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.