White Sox at Twins
Last play · Twins challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Luke Keaschall grounds out softly to first baseman Jacob Gonzalez.
Win probability
Twins0%
CWS 100%MIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 4 – 0 MIN
White Sox led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 49.7% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+123 / -149
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Twins favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jacob Gonzalez singles on a ground ball to center fielder Byron Buxton. Miguel Vargas scores. Andrew Benintendi scores. Chase Meidroth to 3rd. (inning 1) — -16% White Sox
8Andrew Benintendi homers (6) on a fly ball to right field. Miguel Vargas scores.8–0
8Miguel Vargas singles on a line drive to left fielder Trevor Larnach. Sam Antonacci scores.6–0
6Sam Antonacci doubles (7) on a line drive to center fielder Byron Buxton. Rikuu Nishida scores.5–0
1Tristan Peters grounds into a force out, pitcher Taj Bradley to shortstop Tristan Gray. Chase Meidroth scores. Jacob Gonzalez out at 2nd. Tristan Peters to 1st.4–0
1Jacob Gonzalez singles on a ground ball to center fielder Byron Buxton. Miguel Vargas scores. Andrew Benintendi scores. Chase Meidroth to 3rd.3–0
1Chase Meidroth walks. Sam Antonacci scores. Miguel Vargas to 3rd. Andrew Benintendi to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
