White Sox at Twins
Last play · Colson Montgomery flies out sharply to center fielder Byron Buxton.
Win probability
Twins100%
CWS 0%MIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 3 – 6 MIN
Twins led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 8
fair over 49% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +104
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Twins favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Tristan Gray singles on a line drive to left fielder Sam Antonacci. Austin Martin scores. Luke Keaschall scores. Tristan Gray to 2nd. (inning 4) — +29% Twins
7Chase Meidroth singles on a ground ball to third baseman Brooks Lee. Luisangel Acuña scores. Jacob Gonzalez to 3rd.4–6
5Luke Keaschall singles on a ground ball to left fielder Sam Antonacci. Josh Bell scores. Trevor Larnach to 2nd.3–6
4Alex Jackson singles on a fly ball to right fielder Randal Grichuk. Tristan Gray scores.3–5
4Tristan Gray singles on a line drive to left fielder Sam Antonacci. Austin Martin scores. Luke Keaschall scores. Tristan Gray to 2nd.3–4
4Luke Keaschall singles on a line drive to left fielder Sam Antonacci. Trevor Larnach scores. Austin Martin to 3rd. Luke Keaschall to 2nd.3–2
3Brooks Lee out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Sam Antonacci. Tristan Gray scores.3–1
3Miguel Vargas singles on a line drive to left fielder Trevor Larnach. Chase Meidroth scores. Randal Grichuk scores.3–0
3Jacob Gonzalez strikes out swinging.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
