Cardinals at Twins

Scoreboard

STL4–MIN5

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Target Field · STL 38-31 · MIN 33-40

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
STL	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	0	0	4	7	0
MIN	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	1	·	5	13	1

Last play · JJ Wetherholt flies out to center fielder Byron Buxton.

Win probability

Twins100%

STL 0%MIN 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

STL 1 – 2 MIN

Twins led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

9.5

opened 8.5 ↑

fair over 48.5% · hold 4.7%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-103 / -117

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Twins favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓

Biggest swing · JJ Wetherholt homers (10) on a fly ball to right field. Nathan Church scores. (inning 6) — -31% Cardinals

Scoring plays

STL–MIN · 7 total

8Ryan Kreidler doubles (3) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Nathan Church. Luke Keaschall scores.4–5

7Royce Lewis singles on a line drive to left fielder Lars Nootbaar. Ryan Kreidler scores. Byron Buxton to 3rd. Kody Clemens to 2nd.4–4

7Byron Buxton singles on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Lars Nootbaar. Luke Keaschall scores. Ryan Kreidler to 2nd.4–3

7JJ Wetherholt singles on a line drive to center fielder Byron Buxton. José Fermín scores. Nathan Church to 3rd.4–2

6JJ Wetherholt homers (10) on a fly ball to right field. Nathan Church scores.3–2

4Victor Caratini homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field. Josh Bell scores.1–2

4Alec Burleson homers (13) on a fly ball to right field.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.