Angels at Twins
Last play · Kody Clemens lines out to first baseman Nolan Schanuel.
Win probability
Twins0%
LAA 100%MIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 4 – 1 MIN
Angels led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 9
fair over 50.4% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+157 / -191
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Twins favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Vaughn Grissom homers (5) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 4) — -16% Angels
6Austin Martin grounds out, shortstop Zach Neto to first baseman Nolan Schanuel. Royce Lewis scores.4–3
6Brooks Lee doubles (15) on a line drive to left fielder Wade Meckler. Josh Bell scores. Royce Lewis to 3rd.4–2
5Vaughn Grissom out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Alan Roden. Tyler Heineman scores.4–1
5Nolan Schanuel singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Alan Roden. Wade Meckler scores. Tyler Heineman to 3rd. Zach Neto to 2nd.3–1
4Jo Adell strikes out swinging.2–1
4Vaughn Grissom homers (5) on a fly ball to left field.1–1
1Kody Clemens out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jo Adell. Trevor Larnach scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
