Guardians at Twins

Scoreboard

CLE5–MIN2

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Target Field · CLE 48-46 · MIN 46-48

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
CLE	0	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	5	6	0
MIN	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	2	3	0

Last play · Royce Lewis strikes out swinging.

Win probability

Twins0%

CLE 100%MIN 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

CLE 1 – 1 MIN

Tied through 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8.5

opened 9 ↓

fair over 51.7% · hold 4.6%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-115 / -105

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Twins favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓

Biggest swing · Brayan Rocchio doubles (14) on a ground ball to left fielder Trevor Larnach. Patrick Bailey scores. Steven Kwan scores. (inning 7) — -22% Guardians

Scoring plays

CLE–MIN · 6 total

9Patrick Bailey homers (3) on a fly ball to right field.5–2

7Royce Lewis homers (9) on a fly ball to left field.4–2

7Brayan Rocchio doubles (14) on a ground ball to left fielder Trevor Larnach. Patrick Bailey scores. Steven Kwan scores.4–1

6Chase DeLauter homers (9) on a fly ball to right field.2–1

5Tristan Gray singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Kahlil Watson. Royce Lewis scores. Alan Roden to 3rd. Luke Keaschall to 2nd.1–1

2Gabriel Arias homers (5) on a fly ball to center field.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.