Angels at Twins
Last play · Vaughn Grissom strikes out on a foul tip.
Win probability
Twins100%
LAA 0%MIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 2 – 3 MIN
Twins led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 9
fair over 50.4% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+157 / -191
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Twins favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nolan Schanuel singles on a line drive to left fielder Trevor Larnach. Zach Neto scores. (inning 7) — -22% Angels
7Alan Roden singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jo Adell. Victor Caratini scores.3–5
7Victor Caratini doubles (8) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Wade Meckler. Royce Lewis scores.3–4
7Nolan Schanuel singles on a line drive to left fielder Trevor Larnach. Zach Neto scores.3–3
3Jorge Soler doubles (13) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Trevor Larnach. Zach Neto scores. Mike Trout scores.2–3
2Luke Keaschall out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Mike Trout. Victor Caratini scores.0–3
2Royce Lewis homers (10) on a fly ball to left center field. Kody Clemens scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
