Athletics at Twins
Last play · Jeff McNeil lines out to center fielder Byron Buxton.
Win probability
Twins100%
ATH 0%MIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATH 0 – 0 MIN
Tied through 5
Total runs
10
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 49.9% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+123 / -149
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Twins favored ↑50%Athletics favored ↓
Biggest swing · Alan Roden singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Lawrence Butler. Josh Bell scores. Royce Lewis scores. (inning 6) — +31% Twins
6Alan Roden singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Lawrence Butler. Josh Bell scores. Royce Lewis scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
