Athletics at Twins
ATH8–
MIN11Last play · Jacob Wilson grounds out softly to first baseman Kody Clemens.
Win probability
Twins100%
ATH 0%MIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATH 0 – 7 MIN
Twins led after 5
Total runs
10
opened 10
fair over 49% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -163
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Twins favored ↑50%Athletics favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kody Clemens triples (4) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Colby Thomas. Royce Lewis scores. Kody Clemens scores. Throwing error by shortstop Alika Williams. (inning 1) — +16% Twins
9Carlos Cortes grounds into a force out, second baseman Royce Lewis to shortstop Ryan Kreidler. Donovan Walton scores. Jeff McNeil out at 2nd. Carlos Cortes to 1st.8–11
9Jeff McNeil singles on a line drive to right fielder Alan Roden. Tommy White scores. Donovan Walton to 3rd.7–11
8Ryan Jeffers singles on a ground ball to third baseman Tommy White. Ryan Kreidler scores.6–11
8Ryan Kreidler triples (3) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Lawrence Butler. Brooks Lee scores.6–10
7Luke Keaschall out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Carlos Cortes. Kody Clemens scores.6–9
7Carlos Cortes out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Austin Martin. Lawrence Butler scores.6–8
7Jeff McNeil grounds out softly, pitcher Tommy Nance to first baseman Alex Jackson. Tommy White scores. Lawrence Butler to 3rd. Donovan Walton to 2nd.5–8
7Donovan Walton walks. Tyler Soderstrom scores. Tommy White to 3rd. Lawrence Butler to 2nd.4–8
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.