Royals at Twins
Last play · Kody Clemens hits a grand slam (19) to right center field. Ryan Jeffers scores. Royce Lewis scores. Alan Roden scores.
Win probability
Twins100%
KC 0%MIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 3 – 0 MIN
Royals led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 51% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+109 / -131
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Twins favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kody Clemens hits a grand slam (19) to right center field. Ryan Jeffers scores. Royce Lewis scores. Alan Roden scores. (inning 9) — +69% Twins
9Kody Clemens hits a grand slam (19) to right center field. Ryan Jeffers scores. Royce Lewis scores. Alan Roden scores.3–4
5John Rave doubles (4) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Kody Clemens. Carter Jensen scores. Throwing error by right fielder Kody Clemens.3–0
3Jac Caglianone homers (17) on a fly ball to right field. John Rave scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
