White Sox at Twins
Last play · Ryan Jeffers grounds out, second baseman Chase Meidroth to first baseman Munetaka Murakami.
Win probability
Twins0%
CWS 100%MIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 6 – 4 MIN
White Sox led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 50.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-102 / -105
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Twins favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Colson Montgomery homers (28) on a fly ball to right field. Andrew Benintendi scores. Braden Montgomery scores. (inning 1) — -26% White Sox
8Drew Romo strikes out swinging, catcher Ryan Jeffers to first baseman Royce Lewis.7–4
4Munetaka Murakami strikes out swinging.6–4
3Andrew Benintendi doubles (20) on a line drive to left fielder Trevor Larnach. Munetaka Murakami scores.5–4
2Brooks Lee singles on a line drive to left fielder Sam Antonacci. Trevor Larnach scores. Luke Keaschall to 3rd.4–4
1Kody Clemens homers (22) on a fly ball to right field.4–3
1Brooks Lee homers (22) on a fly ball to right center field. Luke Keaschall scores.4–2
1Colson Montgomery homers (28) on a fly ball to right field. Andrew Benintendi scores. Braden Montgomery scores.4–0
1Andrew Benintendi singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Walker Jenkins. Miguel Vargas scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
