White Sox at Twins
Last play · Kaelen Culpepper grounds out to first baseman Munetaka Murakami.
Win probability
Twins0%
CWS 100%MIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 2 – 2 MIN
Tied through 5
Total runs
9
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 50.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-102 / -105
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Twins favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Andrew Benintendi homers (14) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 6) — -14% White Sox
6Andrew Benintendi homers (14) on a fly ball to right center field.3–2
4Chase Meidroth reaches on a fielding error by shortstop Kaelen Culpepper. Andrew Benintendi scores.2–2
2Walker Jenkins grounds into a force out, second baseman Chase Meidroth to shortstop Colson Montgomery. Kaelen Culpepper scores. Victor Caratini out at 2nd. Walker Jenkins to 1st.1–2
1Josh Bell out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Braden Montgomery. Luke Keaschall scores.1–1
1Andrew Benintendi singles on a ground ball to right fielder Luke Keaschall. Sam Antonacci scores. Munetaka Murakami to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
