Athletics at Mets
Last play · Bo Bichette grounds out, second baseman Jeff McNeil to first baseman Nick Kurtz.
Win probability
Mets0%
ATH 100%NYM 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATH 1 – 0 NYM
Athletics led after 5
Total runs
7
opened 8 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -163
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Mets favored ↑50%Athletics favored ↓
Biggest swing · Andy Ibáñez lines out to left fielder Tyrone Taylor. (inning 9) — -14% Athletics
3Nick Kurtz homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
