Rockies at Mets
Last play · Carson Benge flies out to left fielder Mickey Moniak.
Win probability
Mets0%
COL 100%NYM 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 3 – 0 NYM
Rockies led after 5
Total runs
7
opened 7.5 ↓
fair over 51.7% · hold 4.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+218 / -271
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Mets favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Hunter Goodman homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field. Edouard Julien scores. (inning 3) — -21% Rockies
3Hunter Goodman homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field. Edouard Julien scores.3–0
2Troy Johnston singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Carson Benge. Tyler Freeman scores. Kyle Karros to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
