Tigers at Mets
Last play · Carson Benge singles on a ground ball to center fielder Matt Vierling. A.J. Ewing scores.
Win probability
Mets100%
DET 0%NYM 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 2 – 1 NYM
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 8
fair over 49.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-106 / -114
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Mets favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bo Bichette singles on a fly ball to right fielder Wenceel Pérez. Luis Torrens scores. Carson Benge to 3rd. (inning 7) — +23% Mets
10Carson Benge singles on a ground ball to center fielder Matt Vierling. A.J. Ewing scores.2–3
7Bo Bichette singles on a fly ball to right fielder Wenceel Pérez. Luis Torrens scores. Carson Benge to 3rd.2–2
2Tyrone Taylor grounds into a force out, third baseman Kevin McGonigle to second baseman Zach McKinstry. Mark Vientos scores. Brett Baty out at 2nd. Tyrone Taylor to 1st.2–1
1Riley Greene singles on a line drive to center fielder A.J. Ewing. Kevin McGonigle scores. Dillon Dingler scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
