Marlins at Mets

Scoreboard

MIA7–NYM9

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Citi Field · MIA 26-32 · NYM 24-33

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E
MIA	0	0	1	1	2	0	1	2	0	0	7	13	2
NYM	4	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	9	8	0

Last play · MJ Melendez homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Vidal Bruján scores.

Win probability

Mets100%

MIA 0%NYM 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

MIA 4 – 6 NYM

Mets led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

7.5

opened 7 ↑

fair over 51% · hold 4.5%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-105 / -115

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Mets favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓

Biggest swing · Owen Caissie homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field. Jakob Marsee scores. (inning 8) — -34% Marlins

Scoring plays

MIA–NYM · 8 total

10MJ Melendez homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Vidal Bruján scores.7–9

8Owen Caissie homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field. Jakob Marsee scores.7–7

7MJ Melendez out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Kyle Stowers. Bo Bichette scores.5–7

7Otto Lopez out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Juan Soto. Xavier Edwards scores.5–6

5Kyle Stowers doubles (9) on a line drive to right fielder Carson Benge. Otto Lopez scores.4–6

5Otto Lopez singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Carson Benge. Joe Mack scores.3–6

4Luis Torrens out on a sacrifice bunt to catcher Joe Mack. Marcus Semien scores. Throwing error by catcher Joe Mack.2–6

4Jakob Marsee doubles (6) on a ground ball to left fielder Juan Soto. Kyle Stowers scores.2–5

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.