Cardinals at Mets
Last play · A.J. Ewing strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Mets0%
STL 100%NYM 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 6 – 0 NYM
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 48.3% · hold 4.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+113 / -136
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Mets favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · JJ Wetherholt singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder A.J. Ewing. Nolan Gorman scores. Nathan Church scores. (inning 3) — -26% Cardinals
7Alec Burleson doubles (17) on a line drive to right fielder Carson Benge. Iván Herrera scores.7–0
5Alec Burleson homers (9) on a fly ball to left center field. Iván Herrera scores.6–0
3Lars Nootbaar grounds out, second baseman Marcus Semien to first baseman Jared Young. Iván Herrera scores. Jordan Walker to 3rd.4–0
3Jordan Walker doubles (15) on a line drive to left fielder Juan Soto. JJ Wetherholt scores. Iván Herrera to 3rd.3–0
3JJ Wetherholt singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder A.J. Ewing. Nolan Gorman scores. Nathan Church scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
