Cardinals at Mets

Scoreboard

STL9–NYM2

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Citi Field · STL 37-28 · NYM 29-38

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
STL	2	0	2	3	1	0	0	0	1	9	11	0
NYM	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	3	0

Last play · Francisco Alvarez strikes out swinging.

Win probability

Mets0%

STL 100%NYM 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

STL 8 – 2 NYM

Cardinals led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8.5

opened 8.5

fair over 50% · hold 4.8%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+113 / -136

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Mets favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓

Biggest swing · Nelson Velázquez homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. Masyn Winn scores. (inning 3) — -14% Cardinals

Scoring plays

STL–NYM · 7 total

9Alec Burleson homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field.9–2

5José Fermín singles on a ground ball to right fielder Carson Benge. Nathan Church scores.8–2

4Francisco Alvarez homers (5) on a fly ball to left field. A.J. Ewing scores.7–2

4Jordan Walker homers (17) on a fly ball to center field. JJ Wetherholt scores. Iván Herrera scores.7–0

3Nelson Velázquez homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. Masyn Winn scores.4–0

1Masyn Winn grounds into a force out, second baseman Marcus Semien to shortstop Bo Bichette. Iván Herrera scores. Jordan Walker to 3rd. Lars Nootbaar out at 2nd. Masyn Winn to 1st.2–0

1Jordan Walker singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder A.J. Ewing. JJ Wetherholt scores. Iván Herrera to 3rd.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.