Marlins at Mets

Scoreboard

MIA5–NYM2

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Citi Field · MIA 56-55 · NYM 47-64

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
MIA	0	0	0	0	4	1	0	0	0	5	8	1
NYM	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	2	7	0

Last play · Francisco Alvarez flies out sharply to center fielder Jakob Marsee.

Win probability

Mets0%

MIA 100%NYM 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

MIA 4 – 1 NYM

Marlins led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8.5

opened 8.5

fair over 49% · hold 4.5%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-101 / -120

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Mets favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓

Biggest swing · Joe Mack singles on a line drive to left fielder A.J. Ewing. Heriberto Hernández scores. Jakob Marsee scores. (inning 5) — -21% Marlins

Scoring plays

MIA–NYM · 6 total

7Francisco Lindor homers (9) on a fly ball to right field.5–2

6Kyle Stowers homers (16) on a fly ball to center field.5–1

5A.J. Ewing singles on a line drive to center fielder Jakob Marsee. Jorge Polanco scores. Francisco Alvarez to 2nd.4–1

5Xavier Edwards singles on a fly ball to right fielder Carson Benge. Joe Mack scores.4–0

5Joe Mack singles on a line drive to left fielder A.J. Ewing. Heriberto Hernández scores. Jakob Marsee scores.3–0

5Jakob Marsee doubles (13) on a ground ball to right fielder Carson Benge. Griffin Conine scores. Heriberto Hernández to 3rd.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.