Angels at Yankees
Last play · Umpire reviewed (tag play), call on the field was upheld: José Caballero doubles (4) on a line drive to center fielder Mike Trout. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores. Austin Wells scores.
Win probability
Yankees100%
LAA 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 4 – 3 NYY
Angels led after 5
Total runs
11
opened 9 ↑
fair over 48.7% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+157 / -192
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Yankees favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Umpire reviewed (tag play), call on the field was upheld: José Caballero doubles (4) on a line drive to center fielder Mike Trout. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores. Austin Wells scores. (inning 9) — +55% Yankees
9Umpire reviewed (tag play), call on the field was upheld: José Caballero doubles (4) on a line drive to center fielder Mike Trout. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores. Austin Wells scores.4–5
5Mike Trout homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field. Zach Neto scores.4–3
5Logan O'Hoppe homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.2–3
3Adam Frazier homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.1–3
2Trent Grisham singles on a ground ball to left fielder Josh Lowe. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores. José Caballero scores.0–3
1Aaron Judge homers (7) on a fly ball to right field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
