Angels at Yankees
LAA11–
NYY4Last play · J.C. Escarra strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Yankees0%
LAA 100%NYY 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 2 – 3 NYY
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
10
opened 9.5 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+244 / -308
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Yankees favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Giancarlo Stanton homers (2) on a fly ball to center field. Cody Bellinger scores. (inning 3) — +25% Yankees
8Jo Adell hits a grand slam (3) to right field. Adam Frazier scores. Zach Neto scores. Mike Trout scores.11–4
7Mike Trout homers (7) on a fly ball to left field.7–4
6Ben Rice homers (5) on a fly ball to center field.6–4
6Josh Lowe singles on a fly ball to center fielder Trent Grisham. Oswald Peraza scores. Vaughn Grissom scores. Travis d'Arnaud to 2nd.6–3
6Vaughn Grissom singles on a ground ball to left fielder Cody Bellinger, deflected by third baseman Amed Rosario. Jo Adell scores. Oswald Peraza to 3rd.4–3
6Oswald Peraza doubles (3) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Aaron Judge. Mike Trout scores. Jo Adell to 3rd.3–3
3Giancarlo Stanton homers (2) on a fly ball to center field. Cody Bellinger scores.2–3
1Aaron Judge homers (8) on a fly ball to left center field.2–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.