White Sox at Yankees
Last play · Chase Meidroth strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Yankees100%
CWS 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 1 – 11 NYY
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 49.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+124 / -149
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Yankees favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Cody Bellinger singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Braden Montgomery. J.C. Escarra scores. Anthony Volpe scores. Ben Rice to 2nd. (inning 3) — +23% Yankees
8José Caballero homers (7) on a fly ball to left field.2–12
6Luisangel Acuña singles on a ground ball to third baseman Ryan McMahon. Tristan Peters scores. Everson Pereira to 3rd. Andrew Benintendi to 2nd.2–11
4J.C. Escarra reaches on a throwing error by pitcher Chris Murphy. Spencer Jones scores. Ryan McMahon to 3rd. J.C. Escarra to 2nd.1–11
4Ryan McMahon singles on a line drive to right fielder Braden Montgomery. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores. Spencer Jones to 3rd.1–10
4Paul Goldschmidt homers (10) on a fly ball to left field. Cody Bellinger scores.1–9
4Ben Rice homers (20) on a fly ball to right field. J.C. Escarra scores.1–7
3José Caballero out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Tristan Peters. Cody Bellinger scores. Jazz Chisholm Jr. to 3rd.1–5
3Drew Romo challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Spencer Jones walks. Ben Rice scores. Cody Bellinger to 3rd. Jazz Chisholm Jr. to 2nd.1–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
