White Sox at Yankees
Last play · Jasson Domínguez called out on strikes.
Win probability
Yankees0%
CWS 100%NYY 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 1 – 1 NYY
Tied through 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 51.5% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+146 / -177
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Yankees favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Andrew Benintendi hits a grand slam (9) to right center field. Sam Antonacci scores. Jacob Gonzalez scores. Tristan Peters scores. (inning 8) — -48% White Sox
8Andrew Benintendi hits a grand slam (9) to right center field. Sam Antonacci scores. Jacob Gonzalez scores. Tristan Peters scores.5–1
3Ryan McMahon homers (8) on a fly ball to left center field.1–1
2Colson Montgomery homers (20) on a fly ball to center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
