Tigers at Yankees
DET7–
NYY3Last play · Oswaldo Cabrera lines out to center fielder James Outman.
Win probability
Yankees0%
DET 100%NYY 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 7 – 0 NYY
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 8
fair over 49.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+117 / -141
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Yankees favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Spencer Torkelson singles on a ground ball to center fielder Spencer Jones. Dillon Dingler scores. (inning 1) — -12% Tigers
8Amed Rosario homers (8) on a line drive to left center field. Jasson Domínguez scores. Spencer Jones scores.7–3
4Kevin McGonigle singles on a line drive to left fielder Cody Bellinger. Matt Vierling scores. Dillon Dingler scores. Kevin McGonigle to 2nd.7–0
2Hao-Yu Lee singles on a ground ball to left fielder Cody Bellinger. Matt Vierling scores. Kevin McGonigle scores. Spencer Torkelson to 2nd.5–0
2Dillon Dingler out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Spencer Jones. James Outman scores.3–0
2Matt Vierling reaches on a throwing error by third baseman José Caballero. Zach McKinstry scores. James Outman to 3rd.2–0
1Spencer Torkelson singles on a ground ball to center fielder Spencer Jones. Dillon Dingler scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.