Tigers at Yankees
Last play · José Caballero pops out to first baseman Spencer Torkelson in foul territory.
Win probability
Yankees0%
DET 100%NYY 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 6 – 1 NYY
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
7
opened 7.5 ↓
fair over 49.8% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -121
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Yankees favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Spencer Torkelson homers (14) on a fly ball to left field. Colt Keith scores. (inning 1) — -16% Tigers
9Jasson Domínguez singles on a fly ball to first baseman Spencer Torkelson, deflected by right fielder Kerry Carpenter. Amed Rosario scores.9–3
6Paul Goldschmidt grounds into a double play, shortstop Zach McKinstry to second baseman Hao-Yu Lee to first baseman Spencer Torkelson. Max Schuemann scores. Ali Sánchez out at 2nd. Paul Goldschmidt out at 1st.9–2
6James Outman homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field. Spencer Torkelson scores. Zach McKinstry scores.9–1
3Riley Greene homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field. Dillon Dingler scores.6–1
1Ben Rice homers (23) on a fly ball to right center field.4–1
1Spencer Torkelson homers (14) on a fly ball to left field. Colt Keith scores.4–0
1Riley Greene homers (10) on a fly ball to right field.2–0
1Kerry Carpenter homers (13) on a fly ball to center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
