Twins at Yankees
Last play · Cody Bellinger flies out to center fielder Kyler Fedko.
Win probability
Yankees0%
MIN 100%NYY 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 4 – 0 NYY
Twins led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 9 ↓
fair over 48.7% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+114 / -137
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Yankees favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Royce Lewis singles on a ground ball to center fielder Trent Grisham. Luke Keaschall scores. Austin Martin scores. Josh Bell to 2nd. (inning 5) — -17% Twins
9Jasson Domínguez grounds into a double play, shortstop Ryan Kreidler to first baseman Royce Lewis. Trent Grisham scores. Ben Rice out at 2nd. Jasson Domínguez out at 1st.6–1
6Kody Clemens out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Max Schuemann. Ryan Kreidler scores. Luke Keaschall to 3rd.6–0
6Austin Martin walks. Brooks Lee scores. Ryan Kreidler to 3rd. Luke Keaschall to 2nd.5–0
5Royce Lewis singles on a ground ball to center fielder Trent Grisham. Luke Keaschall scores. Austin Martin scores. Josh Bell to 2nd.4–0
4Brooks Lee singles on a line drive to left fielder Cody Bellinger. Royce Lewis scores.2–0
1Josh Bell singles on a fly ball to right fielder Max Schuemann. Austin Martin scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
