Dodgers at Yankees
Last play · Jasson Domínguez called out on strikes.
Win probability
Yankees0%
LAD 100%NYY 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAD 3 – 1 NYY
Dodgers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.3% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-131 / +109
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Yankees favored ↑50%Dodgers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Trent Grisham homers (11) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 4) — +15% Yankees
8Anthony Volpe singles on a fly ball to left fielder Alex Call. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores.8–2
8Freddie Freeman out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Trent Grisham. Tommy Edman scores.8–1
8Shohei Ohtani singles on a ground ball to right fielder Max Schuemann. Dalton Rushing scores. Tommy Edman to 3rd.7–1
8Tommy Edman singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Max Schuemann. Kyle Tucker scores. Teoscar Hernández scores. Dalton Rushing to 2nd.6–1
8Teoscar Hernández hits a ground-rule double (9) on a fly ball to right field. Max Muncy scores. Kyle Tucker to 3rd.4–1
5Andy Pages doubles (22) on a fly ball to right fielder Max Schuemann. Tommy Edman scores.3–1
4Trent Grisham homers (11) on a fly ball to right field.2–1
3Freddie Freeman singles on a line drive to center fielder Trent Grisham. Shohei Ohtani scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
