Dodgers at Yankees
Last play · Tommy Edman pops out to third baseman Ryan McMahon.
Win probability
Yankees100%
LAD 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAD 0 – 1 NYY
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 51.3% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-144 / +119
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Yankees favored ↑50%Dodgers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jazz Chisholm Jr. homers (14) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 8) — +29% Yankees
8Jazz Chisholm Jr. homers (14) on a fly ball to left center field.1–2
8Tommy Edman homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field.1–1
1Cody Bellinger singles on a line drive to center fielder Andy Pages. Paul Goldschmidt scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
